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ge. Volume normally decreases over the summer. Major support levels are 1,253 (multi-year Fibonacci level) and 1,246 (previous support & resistance). Major resistance is 1,275 (previous support

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The monthly chart below shows SPX managed to close the month above the middle Bollinger Band, maintained the bullish MACD, and held Money Flow steady. So, the cyclical bull market remains intact. Also, intermediate-term technical indicators, e.g. the NYSE's Summation Index, Bullish Percent Index, and Oscillator MAs, reached low enough levels in June, consistent with other cyclical bull market pullbacks, to indicate an intermediate-term bottom. However, a breakdown of those lows will lead to a larger correction or a bear market. Also, SPX had a classic October to May rally and has entered the seasonally weaker period. Consequently, a volatile trading range will likely take place over the next few months.

The daily chart below may indicate the SPX July trading range. Volume normally decreases over the summer. Major support levels are 1,253 (multi-year Fibonacci level) and 1,246 (previous support & resistance). Major resistance is 1,275 (previous support &

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. Also, intermediate-term technical indicators, e.g. the NYSE's Summation Index, Bullish Percent Index, and Oscillator MAs, reached low enough levels in June, consistent with other cyclical bull market pullbacks, to indicate an intermediate-term bottom. However, a breakdown of those lows will lead to a larger correction or a bear market. Also, SPX had a classic October to May rally and has entered the seasonally weaker period. Consequently, a volatile trading range will likely take place over the next few months.

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market pullbacks, to indicate an intermediate-term bottom. However, a breakdown of those lows will lead to a larger correction or a bear market. Also, SPX had a classic October to May rally and has entered the seasonally weaker period. Consequently, a volatile trading range will likely take place over the next few months.

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has entered the seasonally weaker period. Consequently, a volatile trading range will likely take place over the next few months.

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ge. Volume normally decreases over the summer. Major support levels are 1,253 (multi-year Fibonacci level) and 1,246 (previous support & resistance). Major resistance is 1,275 (previous support & resistance) and 1,290 (downtrend high). So, the July trading range may be between 1,246 and 1,290. There are many minor support and resistance levels within the range. A rise above 1,290 is bullish and a fall below 1,246 is bearish. Short-term technical indicators are useful (some shown below and explained in the Option Trading Log next day and next week trading plans), along with influencial market events, which may or may not have been fully discounted.

Free charts available at PeakTrader.com Forum Index Market Forecast category.

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